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Home | Housing Bubble | See Also: Finance Resources

Zillow Launches Neighborhood Pages

ZillowZillow's extensive data about homes nationwide has made it a very popular resource. Now John Cook's Venture Blog reports (hat tip Online Media Cultist) that Zillow will be incorporating citizen journalism features into its popular real estate website. They are starting with community webpages for 6,500 neighborhoods in the U.S.
In a way, Zillow is attempting to combine its real estate data with the citizen journalism movement, encouraging people who live in select neighborhoods to upload photos, events, news and other information.

The idea is that people will not only visit Zillow to learn about homes, but -- one could imagine -- local restaurants, recent crimes or the history of the neighborhood. With this feature, you could also see Zillow moving down the path of trying to link people together in certain neighborhoods to share a lawnmower, sell a grill, host a fundraiser or, perhaps, find a date. And if that occurs, the real estate information and Zestimates offered by Zillow today might just be a Trojan horse into other lucrative advertising markets.
Zillow neighborhood pages are already live. On the Fremont, Seattle neighborhood page there are over 200 neighbors, dozens of photos and a comment about the Fremont neighborhood from user SarahSeattle. Yes, SarahSeattle works for Zillow in PR but it does give you an idea of how Zillow's neighborhood feature will work.

BackFence is closing (via BuzzMachine) as Zillow is zeroing in on social networking and citizen journalism. Zillow has already established itself in the real estate niche so maybe this will help keep them above water long enough to get the neighborhood journalism features working as well. It seems logical that if you are going to be providing data about homes and neighborhoods that you also offer some local neighborhood news. Another advantage Zillow has is that people like to use Zillow to check out the values of other homes in their neighborhood. If they run into these local neighborhood comments and photos while they are spying on the values of their neighbor's homes it might encourage them to join in and contribute comments and upload photos of their own. Even if they don't contribute any content they may still return more frequently to Zillow to spy on their neighbor's comments and photos.

Posted on July 12, 2007
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Homes For Sale on YouTube

An article on CNN/Money talks about the "YouTubing" of real estate and how homeowners are using videos to help sell their homes. Some of the videos are more elaborate than others.
Nearly 80 percent of home buyers start their search on the Internet - soon they'll have more to look at.

On its Web site, the Peninsula on Indian River Bay development in Delaware has begun using high-quality, television news-style presentation to sell homes. On the site, viewers take interactive tours of the property, led by two on-line hosts, through different site "channels."

According to Roland Varesko, president of Ecendent Interactive, the production company that put together Peninsula's site, nobody is doing this on as grand a scale as the Peninsula. "It's like having your own TV show," he says.

But the trend is sure to spread. Even now, the economics are such that a development of 50 to 100 homes could afford a Web site like Peninsula's, according to Varesko. And big real estate brokers, such as Century 21, Coldwell Banker (both part of Realogy) and Re/Max, are quickly ramping up.

"I believe streaming videos on Web sites is the wave of the future," says Charlie Young, vice president for marketing for broker Coldwell Banker.
The article appears to be correct in identifying a growing use of video in selling homes. There are thousands of home videos on YouTube.

Homes for Sale on YouTube

If you search house for sale on YouTube you get over 3,000 listings. A Home for sale search gives over 4,000 videos. It is a good way to showcase a house and with the growing housing bubble people probably need any advantage they can get. Some of the videos are placed by individual owners and other are placed by realty companies. For example, the HFRealty channel currently has videos for nine homes including a 3 bedroom home in Kissimmee, Florida.

Posted on March 15, 2007
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When Local Bloggers Depart

Vancouver Housing Market BlogThe blogger at the Vancouver Housing Market Blog was blogging regularly until one day readers of the blog loaded up the site's homepage (or their RSS reader) to find this shocking message.
Things have changed on the off-line front. I have to go now. It has been a lot of fun. I might be back sometime in the future, but I need to stop for awhile anyway.

TaTa For Now.
And just as things are looking pretty grim on the housing front especially in the subprime market. The departure of the blogger at the Vancouver Housing Market Blog (VHB) resulted in this article appearing in The Tyee called, "Pop Goes Real Estate Bubble Blogger." The article says some of the blog's daily readers were shocked to read the blogger's goodbye message.
Usually, the VHB provides links, charts, stats and commentary (like about the number of properties on the Vancouver market and their average prices, historical patterns, comparisons between Vancouver and other cities) that have the implicit questions -- is this a bubble and will it crash?

His last post on Friday left no indication that a halt was in the works, so those who visited his blog on Monday morning expressed surprise. "This is very sudden and I am sad to hear that the mysterious VHB will no longer be making the prescient posts I have become used to reading over the past 12+ months," said a commenter named Mohican.

"Please!!! Don't go! She'll come round!! Just involve her more...She can do some graphs and you guys can research, together," said a commenter named Mighty Mouse.

"Well good luck with that. If you can, keep the site alive. It will be interesting to go back and check the comments in the future. We are going to look like either prescient geniuses or ignorant boobs. I don't think there is much in between," said a commenter named Freako.
When a local blogger covering a niche subject like the housing market disappears it can leave quite a hole. All that good fresh coverage and insight just stops coming. Since leaving the VHB blogger has returned to leave this message.
Thanks to all who have posted such nice things over the past few weeks. Life is going very well, thank you. I do miss blogging in a way, but on the whole it is better to get on with the coolness that is life. Enjoy the crash! (Whenever it comes . . .) VHB out.
It look like someone else will have to pick up the slack in local housing market coverage for Vancouver.

Posted on March 13, 2007
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Blogging the Housing Bubble

As the evidence mounts it is becoming clear that the housing market is slowing and there are concerns the impact on the economy could be severe. An MSNBC.com article says household debt currently exceeds household income by over 8%.
For the first time ever recorded, Americans owe more money than they make. Household debt levels have now surpassed household income by more than eight percent, reaching 108.4 percent in 2005, according to a May 2006 study by the Center for American Progress. Consumer debt is now at a record $2.17 trillion, reports the Federal Reserve Board and consumers cashed out a whopping $431 billion in home equity last year.
Some of the recent posts on The Housing Bubble Blog go beyond mere warning signs. We are starting to see foreclosures rise and home values drop: post bubble hangover, foreclosures in Colorado, Florida's trillion-dollar tsunami and Washington homes stuck in a rut. The big question now in housing is how hard will the landing be? A Newsweek article has a good Q&A with Ben Jones, the author of the Housing Bubble Blog. Ben Jones originally started his blog on Blogspot but has since moved the blog to its own domain. He says the blog is currently paying his bills and he also hopes to write a book.
Have you been able to support yourself with this blog? If not, what else do you do for a living?
Right now, it is paying all my bills. I can't complain. It's what I want to do. I got to kind of a crossroads in the summer of 2005. I was putting a lot of time in, I didn't have any ads up, and I told myself and my family I was going to make a decision about whether to stop-[but] I decided it just seemed like too much to just walk away from. I decided to keep going because it seemed to matter to people, and it seemed like there was something good that would come out of it. I don't relish the idea of anybody losing money.

Some of your contributors have urged you to write a book about the housing bubble. Any plans to do that?
I am working on a project about blogging already. I would like to write a book viewing the housing mania through the lens of my blog.
Ben Jones' blog is popular because he started blogging about the housing bubble well before it started to burst. There are also several other bubble bloggers that started blogging about the potential economic setback in housing well before it happened. You can see a list of bubble blogs we compiled here in a post from last October. The Newsweek article also contains a roundup of several housing blogs including Housing Panic, BubbleTrack, Calculated Risk and Bubble Meter. You can also find links to more housing blogs in our Housing Bubble coverage.

Posted on August 9, 2006
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New Blog Covers Credit and Bankruptcy

Credit SlipsA new blog called Credit Slips offers discussion and debate from seven academics about credit and bankruptcy. The blog launches at a time period when the economy is looking weaker, inflation is climbing and bankruptcy laws have been changed for the worse. Elizabeth Warren is one of the Credit Slips gang of seven. Warren recently announced the launch of Credit Slips in a post on TMP Cafe.
This week a Gang of Seven law professors and sociologists started a new blog, creditslips. (Upfront confessions-I'm one of the Gang.) The topics are tumbling out-pension reforms, medical bankruptcy, collecting from people even after they file bankruptcy and hurricane relief. Credit junkies who are regulars on Warren Reports will want to check it out.
The site also discusses mortgage loans and the housing market and has an interesting new post by Elizabeth Warren about the unregulated home mortgage market and the cooling housing market.
Now let's add a third dot to the picture-the impact of an effectively unregulated home mortgage market. Over the past five years, lenders have sold billions of dollars of mortgages that are designed to go into eventual default because the borrowers cannot possibly afford to pay them. These so-called "creative mortgage products" have two powerful effects: They fueled the boom, pouring more money into an overheated housing market. Now they will accelerate the bust, pushing more people out of their homes through distressed sales, thereby accelerating price collapses on the way down. In other words, a housing bust doesn't just happen. Regulators who won't regulate have an effect as well.
The blog will probably get a little wonkish at times but there is good stuff here for blog readers that want to learn something.

Posted on July 30, 2006
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New York Times Launches Real Estate Blog

Walk-ThroughThe New York Times has launched a real estate blog called The Walk-Through. The blog already had several bubble related posts here and here and here. This post also discussed the housing bubble and tried to link to the Housing Bubble 2 blog but made a typo so the link doesn't work. However, the new blog still has no coverage of the news today that sales of new single-family homes plummeted over 11% in November. The is the second blog for the New York Times and follows on their launch of The Carpetbagger. Other blogs discussing The Walk-Through include Gawker, Jossip, Micro Persuasion, Curbed and Polis.

Posted on December 23, 2005
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Housing Bubble Update 11-30-05

Here is a roundup of some of the latest Housing Bubble news from the blogosphere:

  • Econbrowser provides an overview on how the economy is performing backed up with several graphs. But Econbrowser says housing remains a mystery:
    Housing. (???) This may prove to be the sector that tips things one way or another. This week we received news that (a) sales of existing homes fell 2.7% with inventories increasing 3.5% (which I take to be very bearish developments), and (b) sales of new homes were 10% higher in October compared to the previous year, setting a new record (which I take to be a very bullish development). So, what exactly do the two pieces of information put together signify? Beats me.
  • Peter Coy at Businessweek's Hot Property also blogs about a new report that shows housing sales still climbing.
  • Metroblogging DC covers the bubble and hopes it will "normalize" soon.
    I certainly don't want the market to take a total dive, but I do want it to normalize. Speculation makes me nervous; I can't help thinking of the 1920's crash or, closer to heart, the 1990's internet bust. And I have many friends who want to buy right now and just can't justify or afford it. So let's hope we can find a more secure and reasonable footing in the DC housing market.
  • Mathematician vs. Philosopher has a great post which offers an in-depth analysis of the housing bubble. The post provides analysis of the local Los Angeles housing market and the nation as a whole.
  • The OC Register's Morning Eye blog examines the Orange County housing bubble that won't pop. The post also includes links to some other housing bubble blogs.
  • Will rising heating costs help burst the bubble or will they just make people buy more wood stoves and space heaters?
  • Mister Finance asks if housing is becoming out of reach for most California residents: "In California it just may be. California’s medium income is $54,140. But since the medium price of a decent home is $545,910, this is way too low. The real income needed to qualify for a home loan is $127,950."
  • Posts here, here and here on the active Housing Bubble 2 blog point to signs of bubble burstiness.
  • Kevin's Ramblings offers examples of why the bubble popping reports are dumb.
  • BlogginWallStreet finds hype from the MSM on both sides of the housing bubble issue.
  • Conservabes says everything is wonderful: "Anyone want to say that Bush's tax cuts did NOT have an effect on the economy now? Did not lead us out of his inherited recession and into the prosperity we enjoy now?"
  • Royal Realtor News discusses the meaning of the word bubble.
  • $430 a sq foot for "air rights" in Manhattan?
  • Housing Panic looks back at a bubble article from 2004. Housing Panic also blogs about a possible bubble bursting in Denver.
  • Southern California Real Estate Bubble Crash extrapolates some NAR data and finds that "This means, if the NAR were right, we would be spending 88% of our GROSS INCOME BEFORE TAXES on housing by the year 2034 in San Diego. Glad to see we're keeping it real. This is what stops the trees from growing to the sky. If people can barely cover the 50% of monthly GROSS, what makes people think they can do it at 88%?"
  • Bubble? What Bubble? blogs that there have been bigger bubbles.
  • MSM Coverage: For $1.2 million this tiny 700-square-foot home in Las Vegas could be yours. Yahoo lists the 13 riskiest housing markets. The bubble bursts it could cost 1 million jobs.
  • Comic Relief: This post entitled The Bubble Burst tricked us. It is not about the housing bubble but about a nice bubble sweater.

    Filed in Housing Bubble

    Posted on November 30, 2005
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  • Housing Bubble Update 10-17-05

  • 11,000+ posts on Technorati about the housing bubble but there are many home mortgage loan spam blogs included. Try the Technorati housing bubble tag or the Ice Rocket Housing Bubble tag for less spammy results.
  • Housing.com reports that mortgage rates have topped 6% according to this news report.
  • Calculated Risk reports that mortgage applications are down.
  • Related to homes but not to the housing bubble, blogger Michelle Malkin is covering the hands off my home campaign.
  • Dantu Anand blogs about how the housing bubble could have been prevented.
  • If the housing bubble was an animal it would look like a cat?
  • Socket Site blogs that inventories are up in the Bay Area.
  • The Norther New Jersey Real Estate Bubble blog notes that a story about the paper appeared in the newspaper. The blogger signed his latest post "Caveat Emptor."
  • Professor Piggington has an entry about the psychology of financial mania.

    Links to housing bubble blogs and resources can be found in this post.

    Posted on October 17, 2005
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  • Housing Bubble Blogs and Resources

    Here is a list of blogs and resources covering the housing bubble issue.

    General Housing Bubble Blogs

  • Bloggers Blog: Housing Bubble (Our Coverage)
  • The Housing Bubble 2 by Ben Jones
  • Bubblemeter
  • Professor Piggington's Econo-Almanac for the Landed Poor
  • Housing.com
  • The Mess That Greenspan Made
  • Global Bubble Trouble
  • The Boy in the Big Housing Bubble
  • Calculated Risk
  • Housing Bubble
  • Ready to Burst
  • The Real Estate Bloggers
  • The Greatest Depression
  • Patrick's blog

    Regional Housing Bubble Blogs

  • Seattle Bubble
  • New York Housing Bubble
  • Shore Bubble (NJ)
  • Marin Real Estate Bubble (Ca)
  • Socket Site (Bay Area)
  • San Francisco Real Estate Blog
  • Bayosphere (Bay Area)
  • Northern New Jersey Real Estate Bubble
  • EuroPropertyBlog
  • Vancouver Housing Market Blog
  • Southern California Real Estate Crash

    Other Resources

  • HouseBubble.com
  • Wikipedia's Housing Bubble Entry
  • Inman News
  • Biz Journals Real Estate News
  • Topix.net Real Estate News
  • Yahoo News Housing Bubble Search
  • Yahoo Real Estate Full Coverage
  • Google News Housing Bubble Search
  • Ice Rocket Housing Bubble tag Technorati Housing Bubble tag

    Posted on October 17, 2005
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  • Housing Bubble Blogs

    The L.A. Times has an article about housing bubble blogs. Blogs mentioned in the article include Professor Piggington's Econo-Almanac for the Landed Poor and Ben Jones' blog at thehousingbubble2.blogspot.com. The Times article says many bloggers are getting concerned that the housing market is out of control.
    The fever may be most intense at Jones' free site, created after his first bubble blog crashed in May from trying to handle its 20,000 daily hits. His latest site doesn't run advertising and therefore he derives no revenue from it.

    A self-described "economic activist," Jones, 41, sees his mission as chronicling a seminal financial event, something future scholars can turn to just as historians today would read an anthology of letters written by Dutch tulip traders in the 1630s.

    "In 100 years, economists may be studying the comments of this blog because this was a real-time skeptics' log in the middle of a financial mania," said Jones, who rents a house with his wife in Sedona, Ariz., and doesn't own any real estate.

    Jones' fervor stems largely from his status as a casualty of the dot-com meltdown, when he was the controller at an Austin, Texas, Internet firm that he declined to name. He resigned in 1999 before the company went bankrupt, after he spent a stressful final year trying to convince his entrepreneur bosses that "companies really do need to make money."

    The housing market today "is just like the tech bubble," said Jones, who holds economics and business degrees from Midwestern State University in Wichita Falls, Texas. "That's why it's a mania — because people have forgotten the fundamentals."
    There are many other blogs discussing the housing market as well. The Blog Post recently posted that 43% of new jobs were derived from the housing bubble. Dan Gillmor frequently posts on the housing bubble issue on his blog. Dan Gillmor's citizen journalism website, called Bayosphere, discusses the Bay Area, which is one of the regions suspected of having a housing bubble. More blogs can be found by searching for "housing bubble" on the blog search engines like Technorati and Blogpulse.com.

    Posted on July 18, 2005
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